Predictions for the ATP Montreal Semi-Finals including Ruud vs Hurkacz

Four men remain at the Montreal ATP Masters 1000 as the tournament draws to a close this weekend. Two intriguing matches are on the schedule on Saturday with Norway’s Casper Ruud taking on Hubert Hurkacz. We’re also guaranteed to be Masters 1000 finalists for the first time as Pablo Carreno Busta takes on Dan Evans in the second semi-final. Who do you think will reach the final?

ATP Montreal Semi-Final Predictions

Casper Ruud vs. Hubert Hurkacz

Face-to-face: Ruud 1-0 Hurkacz

Ruud easily knocked out local favorite Felix Auger-Aliassime in the quarterfinals on Friday, losing just three games to Canada’s last remaining National Bank Open entrant. The Norwegian is expected to return to the top five and climb to a new career world No. 4 if he wins the trophy on Sunday. His run after Wimbledon was particularly impressive and remains on track to reach a second final on North American hard courts in 2022.

Hurkacz, for his part, ended Nick Kyrgios’ 15-game winning streak in an absorbing encounter and is now in pole position to clinch his second Masters 1000 title. Despite his first round elimination at Wimbledon, the eighth seed series returned to winning ways on North American soil. Hurkacz has a fine record in this part of the continent having won the biggest title of his career in Miami last season. He was called up to play his best tennis in each of his three matches at the Montreal Masters, beating Ruusuvuori, Ramos Vinolas and Kyrgios in straight sets.

Hurkacz served Nick Kyrgios in the quarter-finals – not an easy feat to achieve on a hard court. He has the ability to hit hard on both wings and moves extremely well for a man of his stature. But in terms of movement, he’s likely to play second fiddle to Ruud who is a workaholic in the men’s circuit. The Norwegian’s serve is also far too refined to give up cheap points and his superior athleticism should help him crush Hurkacz for the second time this year.

Prediction: Ruud in 3
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Pablo Carreno Busta vs. Dan Evans

Face-to-face: first meeting

Evans slipped into the Montreal ATP Masters semi-finals slightly unnoticed. The Briton is expected to move up 16 places in the ATP rankings after his 1-6 6-3 6-4 win over an in-form Tommy Paul. Evans recovered from a terrible first set and took control of the match in sets two and three by absorbing Paul’s power and redirecting with depth.

Carreno Busta, meanwhile, is in the last four without dropping a set. The Spanish baseman prevented an all-British collision by knocking out Jack Draper in straight sets. The weight of Carreno Busta’s shot overwhelmed Draper despite the British qualifier taking an early lead in the opening set tiebreak. In the end, the experienced Carreno Busta earned three breaks of serve in the second set to close out the victory.

It should be another close semi-final. Carreno Busta’s form this week mirrors his decent run in the fourth round of the Australian Open earlier in January. Evans will attempt to get under his skin, neutralizing his pace and intensity with his deft slices. However, the Spaniard is a consistent hitter from the back of the pitch and Evans will have to finish the points on his own rather than wait for mistakes. Evans is likely to fail.

Prediction: Carreno Busta in 3

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